← Back To Blog

Curse of the Strictly Come Dancing Favourites…

September 17th, 2018 Home, News & Events, Press Release, Television

Strictly Come Dancing is back this weekend, but can you look back previous winners for tips on who might claim the Glitter Ball Trophy this year?

Well, the short answer is no – indeed if you start the show as favourite, the odds are massively against you winning the show – only 20% of favourites have won the show in its 15-year history.

Strictly Come Dancing is back this weekend, but can you look back previous winners for tips on who might claim the Glitter Ball Trophy this year?

Well, the short answer is no – indeed if you start the show as favourite, the odds are massively against you winning the show – only 20% of favourites have won the show in its 15-year history.

Since the first show back in 2003, just three favourites have taken the honours, they have all been female – Natasha Kaplinsky, Alesha Dixon and Kara Tointon.

So we look back trough each year at every series to see how the favourites did…

Series 1 – 2003  – Newsreader Kaplinsky took the honours with Brendan Cole – who himself would go on to become one of the most famed professional dancers, but she was tipped from the start to do well and remember there was just eight couples in the first series.

Series 2 – 2004 – Geordie actress Jill Halfpenny won the second series, now involving ten couples, dancing with Darren Bennett, but it was Olympian Denise Lewis – who finished runner-up, who began as favourite along with Casualty star Sarah Manners.

Series 3 – 2005 – The first sportsman to take the honours was cricketing legend Darren Gough, who caused a real shock with his win alongside Lilia Kopylova. He held off long-time favourite Zoe Ball and athlete Colin Jackson.

Series 4 – 2006 – Another shock and another sportsman taking the win with Mark Ramprakash winning overall alongside Karen Hardy. The former England cricketer beat huge pre-show favourite Emma Bunton, with the Spice Girl finishing third with Rugby ace Matt Dawson in second.

Series 5 – 2007 – The favourite comes in for only the second time, with Alesha Dixon claiming the title with her partner Matthew  Cutler, fending off Gethin Jones and Matt Di Angelo – although the early withdrawal of Kelly Brook also helped.

Series 6 – 2008 – Actor Tom Chambers ended up being a hugely popular winner with Camilla Dallerup after a brilliant last dance, but he was far from the favourite with Rachel Stevens and Lisa Snowdon the favoured celebrities along with Rugby star Austin Healey.

Series 7 – 2009 – Another huge shock came in 2009 with sports reporter Chris Hollins providing a big upset in the final, when he and Ola Jordan took victory over favoured former Hollyoaks duo of Ali Bastian and Ricky Whittle.

Series 8 – 2010 – A close call in 2010 but favourite Kara Tointon brought it home. Having already showed his prowess in winning a Sports Relief special in 2008, should secured victory with Artem Chigvintsev, seeing off Matt Baker in the final.

Series 9 – 2011 – Victors Harry Judd and Aliona Vilani were hugely popular, but the McFly drummer was not seen as one of the favourites before the series with the likes of Holly Valance, Jason Donovan and Chelsee Healey attracting the headlines – but it was Judd who came through the pack to win.

Series 10 – 2012 – The fist sportsman to take the honours since 2006, gymnast Louis Smith won with Flavia Cacace but pre-show all the talk had been about former Westlife singer Nicky Byrne and Girls Aloud star Kimberley Walsh.

Series 11 – 2013 – Model Abbey Clancy was far from favourite at the start but she claimed the Glitter Ball with Aljaz Skorjanec. Singer Sophie Ellis-Bextor, who had been considered favourite early on failed to make the final as news anchor Susanna Reid claimed the runner-up spot.

Seires 12 – 2014 – Caroline Flack took the win with the popular Pasha Kovalev, but she was never considered one of the favourites as she fended off popstars Frankie Bridge, Simon Webbe and Pixie Lott to take the crown.

Series 13 – 2015 – Wanted star Jay McGuiness too the win with Aliona Vilani, but it was another pop star who was tipped for the win in the shape of Peter Andre, however the Australian didn’t even make the final. McGuiness beat soap actresses Kellie Bright and Georgia May Foote in the finale.

Series 14 – 2016 – The biggest shock in Strictly history came in 2016. Early favourite Will Young withdrew, but then going into the final – it was seen as a battle between Danny Mac and Louise Redknapp, but no it went to presenter Ore Oduba who took he win with Joanne Clifton.

Series 15 – 2017 – And another favourite failed last year, and it was another big shock. JLS’ Aston Merrygold and Alexandra Burke were expected to push for the title, but the challenge did not come and in the end former Hollyoaks star Gemma Atkinson was pipped at the post by Casualty actor Joe McFadden.

Series 16 – 2018 – ?????????

OddsMonkey spokesman Peter Watton commented: “There have been some real shock in Strictly over the years, and we haven’t seen a favourite come in for some time – even last year, Alexandra Burke look almost unbeatable, but she couldn’t get it done.

“But does that help us pick a winner for this year? We are not sure as the odds are very close and we have already seen DJ Vick Hope become the new favourite just ahead of Pussycat Dolls star Ashley Roberts – so the omens are not good for Vick.

“People have to remember at the end of the day, it is a popularity contest not a dancing one as the overall winner goes to the public vote, not the judges.

“Bookmakers are reporting plenty of money across he board, with Stacey Dooley and Danny John-Jule well backed. One name we are surprised to see considered one of the outsiders is Blue front-man Lee Ryan – who is out to 25/1 with only the rank outsiders Seann Walsh and Susannah Constantine behind him in the betting.”

Strictly Come Dancing Odds 2018:
3/1 Vick Hope
7/2 Ashley Roberts
6/1 Stacey Dooley
7/1 Danny John-Jules
12/1 Faye Tozer
14/1 Charles Venn
16/1 Graeme Swann
16/1 Joe Sugg
16/1 Katie Piper
16/1 Lauren Steadman
25/1 Kate Silverton
25/1 Ranj Singh
25/1 Lee Ryan
66/1 Seann Walsh
66/1 Susannah Constantine

OddsMonkey are the leading Odds Experts, and specialise in analysing odds and betting markets.
Spokesman Pete Watton is available for further comment or one-on-one interviews on this subject or anything connected with a betting market – for more information please contact press@oddsmonkey.com or call 01916404262