{"id":73,"date":"2020-02-06T16:40:15","date_gmt":"2020-02-06T16:40:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/om2.philclerkin.com\/?p=73"},"modified":"2020-02-07T10:07:35","modified_gmt":"2020-02-07T10:07:35","slug":"general-election-what-do-the-odds-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/home\/general-election-what-do-the-odds-say\/","title":{"rendered":"General Election \u2013 what do the odds say?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The General Election is nearly upon us, we know the odds for the whole country \u2013 but what do the local elections tell us?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>OddsMonkey have looked at the ten most marginal seats across the country to see whether than can tell us anything\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Interestingly, six of the ten most marginals are predicted to swap hands by Bookmakers, with the other four holding with the current incumbent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Conservatives gain four, hold one but also lose one to the Liberal Democrats \u2013 who are actually predicted to do well picking up two \u2013 also landing one from the SNP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the Bookmakers believe the Scottish Nationalists will do well, despite having four seats in the top-ten marginals \u2013 as they are predicted to to keep three of those.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Labour don\u2019t see any gains in the top-ten, and actually lose the three they currently hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1. NORTH EAST FIFE<\/strong><br>SNP majority of 2 votes<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Odds:<\/strong><br>Liberal Democrat Evens<br>SNP 9\/1<br>Conservative 50\/1<br>Labour 50\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bookmakers predict:<\/strong><br>Liberal Democrat GAIN<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2.&nbsp;KENSINGTON<\/strong><br>Labour majority of 20<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Odds:<\/strong><br>Conservative&nbsp;4\/7<br>Labour 13\/5<br>Liberal Democrat 3\/1<br>Brexit Party 100\/1<br>Green 200\/1<br>UKIP 500\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bookmakers predict:<\/strong><br>Conservative GAIN<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3. PERTH AND NORTH PERTHSHIRE<\/strong><br>SNP majority of 21<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Odds:<br>SNP 7\/4<br>Conservative 40\/1<br>Labour 50\/1<br>Liberal Democrat 50\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bookmakers predict:<\/strong><br>SNP HOLD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>4. DUDLEY NORTH<\/strong><br>Independent majority of 22<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conservative 1\/14<br>Labour 6\/1<br>Liberal Democrat 150\/1<br>Green 300\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bookmakers predict:<\/strong><br>Conservative GAIN<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>5. NEWCASTLE-UNDER-LYME<\/strong><br>Labour majority of 30<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conservative 1\/5<br>Labour 3\/1<br>Brexit Party 33\/1<br>Green 50\/1<br>Liberal Democrat 80\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bookmakers predict:<\/strong><br>Conservative GAIN<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>6. SOUTHAMPTON ITCHEN<\/strong><br>Conservative majority of 31<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conservative 1\/4<br>Labour 5\/2<br>Liberal Democrat 50\/1<br>Brexit Party 50\/1<br>Green 100\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bookmakers predict:<\/strong><br>Conservative HOLD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>7. RICHMOND PARK<\/strong><br>Conservative majority of 45<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Liberal Democrat 1\/4<br>Conservative 11\/4<br>Labour 66\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bookmakers predict:<\/strong><br>Liberal Democrat GAIN<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>8. CREWE AND NANTWICH&nbsp;<\/strong><br>Labour majority of 48<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conservative 2\/7<br>Labour 9\/4<br>Liberal Democrat 50\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bookmakers predict:<\/strong><br>Conservative GAIN<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>9. GLASGOW SOUTH WEST&nbsp;<\/strong><br>SNP majority of 60<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SNP 1\/6<br>Labour 7\/2<br>Conservative 20\/1<br>Liberal Democrat 50\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bookmakers predict:<\/strong><br>SNP HOLD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>10. GLASGOW EAST<\/strong><br>SNP majority of 75<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SNP 1\/8<br>Labour 9\/2<br>Conservative 33\/1<br>Liberal Democrat 66\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bookmakers predict:<\/strong><br>SNP HOLD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Overall Election Odds:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Most seats in General Election<\/strong><br>Conservatives&nbsp;1\/33<br>Labour&nbsp;14\/1<br>Liberal Democrats&nbsp;300\/1<br>Brexit Party&nbsp;500\/1<br>Green Party 500\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Majority in General Election<\/strong><br>Conservative Majority&nbsp;1\/3<br>No Overall Majority&nbsp;11\/5<br>Labour Majority&nbsp;25\/1<br>Liberal Democrat majority 500\/1<br>Green Majority 500\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>OddsMonkey spokesman Peter Watton commented: \u201cThe odds have been pretty steady, confirming a Conservative win and by a majority is odds-on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cBut looking at the marginals, it is perhaps a surprise not more are changing with just 6 out of the 10 set to change hands \u2013 which confirms that maybe things will be closer than we think, however, constituency-by-constituency this election looks very hard to call.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Odds correct at time of writing<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Please note that we can tailor this release to your needs or produce bespoke content for free on any subject, please get in touch to see if we can help.<br><br>Spokesman Peter Watton is available for further comment or one-on-one interviews on this subject or anything connected with a betting market \u2013 for more information please contact&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:press@oddsmonkey.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">press@oddsmonkey.com<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You can also check out all our&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">latest Press Releases&nbsp;<\/a>&nbsp;\u2013 which you are free to use<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The General Election is nearly upon us, we know the odds for the whole country \u2013 but what do the local elections tell us? OddsMonkey have looked at the ten most marginal seats across the country to see whether than can tell us anything\u2026 Interestingly, six of the ten most marginals are predicted to swap [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_breakdance_hide_in_design_set":false,"_breakdance_tags":""},"categories":[5046,6438,9906],"tags":[],"yst_prominent_words":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5939,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73\/revisions\/5939"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73"},{"taxonomy":"yst_prominent_words","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddsmonkey.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/yst_prominent_words?post=73"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}